Exploring the use of temperature to understand recent drought and project future conditions in the Colorado River Basin

This project will systematically characterize and assess the available sources of CRB temperature information, resulting in a more organized view of the data that Reclamation has produced or collected over the course of multiple projects. The in-depth analysis of the observed record will increase Reclamation’s understanding of how basin efficiencies may have shifted during the ongoing drought and how they may continue to shift. The evaluation of the different ensembles will result in experimental projections that demonstrate the utility of the CRB Projection Testbed, which was recently developed within Reclamation. Skillful midterm projections can provide a more accurate view of potential risks to the CRB system.